PredZone

How much does it cost to bet on football's forgotten leagues?

Every bookmaker hides a cut in its odds. On football's most obscure leagues that cut reaches about 11% — and at the worst bookmaker 15%, more than double the ~6% you pay at the best.

We tracked the odds on 781 fixtures priced before 24 July 2026 across 43 lower-profile competitions and measured the cut each bookmaker takes on the match result. It's a look at the market itself — how expensive these leagues are to bet, and how few bookmakers even price them — not betting advice. 18+, information only.

The bookmaker you pick matters

The cut on match-result odds, bookmaker by bookmaker, from the cheapest to the most expensive. The gap between the best and worst is about 2.4×.

BookmakerMedian cutMatches
Pinnacle6.3%638
Dafabet6.7%724
1xBet7.3%738
Betano7.8%731
Marathonbet7.9%714
Unibet8.1%673
Superbet8.2%485
10Bet8.8%652
BetVictor9.0%648
Bet3659.3%715
888Sport9.5%129
William Hill10.0%661
Betfair10.1%728
SBO14.9%568

Some leagues cost far more than others

The typical cut per competition. Big summer leagues with lots of bookmakers — USA's MLS at ~6.6% — are among the cheapest; the obscure minor leagues climb toward 11%. We don't compare with Europe's top leagues here — they were between seasons during this window and aren't in the data.

LeagueMedian cutBest priceMatches
USA MLS6.6%4.3%34
Brazil Serie A6.6%4.0%23
Norway Eliteserien7.2%3.7%25
Sweden Allsvenskan7.2%4.9%33
Korea K League 17.3%3.6%30
Mexico Liga Mx7.3%4.8%27
Brazil Serie B7.6%4.6%53
Europa Leaguecup7.7%8.0%31
Sweden Superettan7.9%5.8%16
Romania Liga I8.0%5.9%15
Russia First League8.0%5.6%18
China Super League8.0%5.2%32
Champions Leaguecup8.0%7.9%54
Bulgaria First League8.0%6.8%14
Ecuador Liga Pro8.2%5.7%20
Peru Primera Division8.2%7.8%18
Conference Leaguecup8.8%10.6%93
Finland Veikkausliiga8.9%4.2%20
Serbia Super Liga9.7%9.3%13
Slovenia 1 SNL10.0%5.9%8
Bolivia Primera Division10.0%9.2%9
South Korea K League 210.0%5.7%16
China League One10.0%7.8%8
Australia Queensland Premier League10.3%10.6%4
Uzbekistan Super League10.3%7.8%13
Iceland Urvalsdeild10.3%6.0%17
Iceland 1 Deild10.5%7.8%10
Kazakhstan Premier League10.6%10.6%14
Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League10.6%—1
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana10.8%10.5%21
Estonia Meistriliiga10.9%7.9%5
Argentina Primera C10.9%—16
Moldova Super Liga11.0%12.4%4
Latvia Virsliga11.0%7.8%10
Brazil Catarinense 211.1%12.5%4
Chile Primera B11.1%9.2%7
Latvia 1 Liga11.1%12.8%7
Iceland 2 Deild11.2%10.6%6
Lithuania A Lyga11.2%7.8%5
Lithuania 1 Lyga11.2%12.8%11
Paraguay Division Intermedia11.3%12.4%8
Estonia Esiliiga A11.3%12.7%5
Estonia Esiliiga B11.4%12.8%3

"Best price" shows the cheapest reference book's cut where it priced the league; two-legged cup ties are flagged separately.

The leagues almost nobody prices

How many bookmakers put up odds for each competition. When only a few price a match, the market is thin — the price is whatever those few decide.

LeagueBookmakers per match (median)RangeMatches
Russia First League4.52–618
Kazakhstan Premier League53–1214
Latvia 1 Liga55–107
Argentina Primera C7.55–1016
Chile Primera B85–87
Latvia Virsliga81–1310
Paraguay Division Intermedia87–118
Serbia Super Liga85–1313
Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League88–81
Brazil Catarinense 297–124
Lithuania 1 Lyga93–1211
Moldova Super Liga9.58–104
Estonia Esiliiga B1010–113
Bolivia Primera Division119–139
Estonia Esiliiga A113–115
Iceland 2 Deild117–126
Australia Queensland Premier League11.511–124
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana124–1221
Estonia Meistriliiga125–135
Lithuania A Lyga122–135
Mexico Liga Mx126–1327
Peru Primera Division1211–1318
Slovenia 1 SNL126–138
USA MLS128–1334
Uzbekistan Super League1211–1213
Bulgaria First League12.511–1314
South Korea K League 212.511–1316
Sweden Superettan12.510–1416
Brazil Serie A132–1423
Brazil Serie B1310–1453
China League One1313–138
China Super League1312–1432
Ecuador Liga Pro138–1320
Champions League132–1354
Conference League1311–1393
Europa League131–1331
Finland Veikkausliiga1312–1420
Iceland 1 Deild138–1310
Iceland Urvalsdeild1310–1417
Korea K League 11312–1430
Norway Eliteserien1312–1425
Romania Liga I1311–1415
Sweden Allsvenskan136–1433

Methodology

We measured the bookmaker's cut (the "overround") on the match-result market from the last odds before kick-off, then took the middle value across bookmakers. Sample: 781 fixtures priced before 24 July 2026, across 43 competitions; kick-offs of the 985 fixtures in the corpus fall between 21 June 2026 and 7 October 2026. Built with statistical models. 18+ — information only, not betting advice or a promise of profit.

European cups — schedule, stages and tables: UEFA Champions League · UEFA Europa League · UEFA Conference League

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