Transparency report

June 2026

Settled picks

5–8–0

W–L–P

+9.3%

Mean CLV

13 of 13 picks priced at close

76.9%

Beat the closing line

Flat one-unit staking: +1.6u (+12.7% ROI) across 13 settled picks. Short sample that swings hard in both directions — context, not a promise.

What is CLV? Closing line value compares the odds we published at with the odds the market closed at before kickoff. Consistently beating the closing line is the standard evidence that picks reflect real information rather than luck. It is measured on every published pick with a recorded closing price — free picks included — and shown here exactly as our settled ledger produces it, positive or negative. Positive CLV does not guarantee profit: results swing, drawdowns happen, and short samples can stay negative even with good CLV. Never bet money you cannot afford to lose.

Full record by league

League	Picks	W–L–P	ROI	Mean CLV	% +CLV
china_super_league	1	0–1–0	−100.0%	+11.5%	100.0%
finland_veikkausliiga	3	2–1–0	+85.0%	+10.2%	100.0%
sweden_allsvenskan	9	3–6–0	+1.1%	+8.8%	66.7%
Total	13	5–8–0	+12.7%	+9.3%	76.9%

Every pick behind these numbers is frozen before kickoff and graded publicly — wins and losses alike. Track record.

Markets: best and worst

Best market

corners

9 picks · 4–5–0

Mean CLV +13.4%

Worst market

total

4 picks · 1–3–0

Mean CLV +0.1%

Drawdown

Worst point this period: −3.0u from peak — within the expected range at this volume, not a scandal.